Serious German aircraft losses from the spring campaign greatly weakened the Luftwaffe before the Battle of Britain.
 Had that been the only disadvantage under which the Luftwaffe operated,
 German strategic problems would have been daunting enough, given the 
difficulties of mounting a major combined arms operation. Unfortunately 
for the Germans, the strain that recent battles had imposed on their 
military structure represented only a small portion of the problem; a 
whole host of strategic, economic, tactical, and technological problems 
had to be faced and surmounted before the Reich could solve the “British
 question.”
What made an inherently complex task impossible was the 
overconfidence that marked the German leadership in the summer of 1940. 
Hitler, basking in a mood of preening self-adulation, went on vacation. 
During a visit to Paris after the signing of the armistice, tours of 
World War I battlefields, and picnics along the Rhine, the last thing on
 Hitler’s mind was grand strategy.” The high command structure, however,
 was such that without Hitler there was no one with either the drive or 
strategic vision to pick up the reins-a state of affairs precisely in 
accord with the Fuhrer’s wishes.
Until mid-July 1940, Hitler believed that England would sue for a 
peace that he would have happily extended to her. As early as May 20, 
Hitler had remarked that England could have peace for the asking. 
Nothing in British behavior in the late 1930’s suggested that Hitler’s 
expectation was unrealistic. In fact, there were still some within the 
British government who regarded Churchill’s intransigence with distaste.
 In late May, Lord Halifax, the Foreign Secretary, expressed his alarm 
at the relish with which Churchill approached his task, while “Rab” 
Butler, Under Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, told the Swedish 
minister in London that “no opportunity would be neglected for 
concluding a compromise peace if the chance [were] offered on reasonable
 conditions .”
But the mood in Britain had changed. Churchill, furious at Butler’s 
indiscretion, passed along a biting note to Halifax. Butler’s whining 
reply that he had been misunderstood and had meant no offense indicates 
how much things had changed since Churchill had assumed power.” But one 
must stress that Churchill’s toughness as the nation’s leader reflected a
 new mood in Britain. In late June 1940, Admiral Dudley Pound told the 
French liaison officer at the Admiralty that “the one object we had in 
view was winning the war and that it was as essential for them [the 
French] as for us that we should do so. . . . All trivialities, such as 
questions of friendship and hurting people’s feeling, must be swept 
aside.” Indeed they were, when for strategic reasons, the British 
government ordered the Royal Navy to attack and sink the French fleet at
 Mers-el-Kebir.
The Germans missed the new British resolve almost completely, and 
Hitler’s strategic policy from the summer of 1940 through 1941 sought a 
method, whether it be military, diplomatic, or political, to persuade 
the British to make peace. The mood in Berlin was euphoric, since the 
Germans believed that the war was nearly over. All that remained, from 
their viewpoint, was to find the right formula for ending hostilities. 
Confirming this perspective was a strategic memorandum of late June in 
which Alfred Jodl, the number two man in the OKW, suggested that “the 
final victory of Germany over England is only a question of time.’ 
Jodl’s approach to the English “problem” reflected a general failing 
within the officer corps of all three services. As the campaign in the 
west in 1940 had shown, the tactical and operational performance of 
German military forces was without equal. The problem lay on a higher 
level: that of strategy. The Germans, if they had mastered the tactical 
and operational lessons of World War I, had not mastered the strategic 
lessons of that terrible conflict. While the French failure to learn 
from the last war had immediate consequences in May 1940, in the long 
run German unwillingness to face that war’s strategic lessons had an 
even more catastrophic impact on their history.
German strategic planning and discussions throughout the summer of 
1940 reflect, in glaring fashion, a failure to grasp the essentials of 
strategy. The navy had squandered its battle cruiser assets in 
strategically meaningless operations off Norway in the late spring. The 
army drew up a plan for the proposed cross-channel invasion, code named 
“Sea Lion,” that one can charitably describe as irrelevant to and 
ignorant of the general state of available naval strength . The 
Luftwaffe throughout the summer, following Goring’s lead, paid minimal 
attention to the operational problems of a channel crossing by the army 
in the belief that its victory over the RAF would make an invasion 
unnecessary.
Jodl’s June memorandum posed two possibilities for German strategy 
against England: (a) “a direct attack on the English motherland; (b) an 
extension of the war to peripheral areas” such as the Mediterranean and 
trade routes. In the case of a direct strategy, there existed three 
avenues: (1) an offensive by air and sea against British shipping 
combined with air attacks against centers of industry; (2) terror 
attacks by air against population centers; and (3) finally, a landing 
operation aimed at occupying England. The precondition for German 
success, Jodl argued, must be the attainment of air superiority. 
Furthermore, attacks on British aircraft plants would insure that the 
RAF would not recover from its defeat. Interestingly, Jodl suggested 
that air superiority would lead to a diminishing capacity for the RAF 
bomber force to attack Germany. It is in this context that German 
attacks in the coming struggle on Bomber Command’s bases must be seen. 
By extending the air offensive to interdict imports and to the use of 
terror attacks against the British population (justified as reprisal 
attacks), Jodl believed that the Luftwaffe would break British 
willpower. He commented that German strategy would require a landing on 
the British coast only as the final blow (“Todesstoss”) to finish off an
 England that the Luftwaffe and navy had already defeated.
On June 30, 1940, Goring signed an operational directive for the air 
war against England. After redeployment of its units, the Luftwaffe 
would first attack the RAF, its ground support echelons, and its 
aircraft industry. Success of these attacks would create the conditions 
necessary for an assault on British imports and supplies, while at the 
same time protecting German industry. “As long as the enemy air force is
 not destroyed, it is the basic principle of the conduct of air war to 
attack the enemy air units at every possible favorable opportunity-by 
day and night, in the air, and on the ground-without regard for other 
missions.” What is apparent in early Luftwaffe studies is the fact that 
the German air force regarded the whole RAF as the opponent rather than 
just Fighter Command. Thus, the attacks on Bomber Command bases and 
other RAF installations partially reflected an effort to destroy the 
entire British air force rather than bad intelligence. Parenthetically, 
the losses in France directly influenced Goring’s thinking. He demanded 
that the Luftwaffe maintain its fighting strength as much as possible 
and not allow its personnel and materiel to be diminished because of 
overcommitments.
In retrospect, the task facing the Germans in the summer of 1940 was 
beyond their capabilities. Even disregarding the gaps in interservice 
cooperation-a must in any combined operations-the force structure, 
training, and doctrine of the three services were not capable of solving
 the problem of invading the British Isles. The Norwegian campaign had 
virtually eliminated the Kriegsmarine as a viable naval force. Thus, 
there were neither heavy units nor light craft available to protect 
amphibious forces crossing the Channel. The lack of escorting forces 
would have made “Sea Lion” particularly hazardous because it meant that 
the Germans possessed no support against British destroyer attacks 
coming up or down the Channel. The Admiralty had stationed 4 destroyer 
flotillas (approximately 36 destroyers) in the immediate vicinity of the
 threatened invasion area, and additional forces of cruisers, 
destroyers, and battleships were available from the Home Fleet.” Even 
with air superiority, it is doubtful whether the Luftwaffe could have 
prevented some British destroyers from getting in among the amphibious 
forces; the Navy certainly could not. The landing craft that 
circumstances forced the Germans to choose, Rhine River barges, 
indicates the haphazard nature of the undertaking as well as the tenuous
 links to supplies and reinforcements that the Germans would have had 
across the Channel. Just a few British destroyers among the slow moving 
transport vessels would have caused havoc.
Air superiority
 itself represented a most difficult task, given Luftwaffe strength and 
aircraft capabilities. Somewhat ironically, the strategic problem 
confronting the Germans in the summer of 1940 represented in microcosm 
that facing Allied air forces in 1943. Because of the Bf 109’s limited 
range, German bombers could only strike southern England where fighter 
protection could hold the loss rate down to acceptable levels. This 
state of affairs allowed the RAF a substantial portion of the country as
 a sanctuary where it could establish and control an air reserve and 
where British industrial power, particularly in the Birmingham-Liverpool
 area, could maintain production largely undisturbed. Moreover, the 
limited range of German fighter cover allowed the British one option 
that they never had to exercise: Should the pressure on Fighter Command 
become too great, they could withdraw their fighters north of London to 
refit and reorganize; then when the Germans launched “Sea Lion,” they 
could resume the struggle. Thus in the final analysis, the Luftwaffe 
could only impose on Fighter Command a rate of attrition that its 
commanders would accept. The Germans were never in a position to attack 
the RAF over the full length and breadth of its domain. Similarly in 
1943, Allied fighters could only grapple with the Germans up to a line 
approximately along the Rhine. On the other side of the line, the 
Luftwaffe could impose an unacceptable loss rate on Allied bombers. Not 
until Allied fighters could range over the entire length and breadth of 
Nazi Germany could Allied air forces win air superiority over the 
continent.
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